18 March 2010


By Andy Weddington
Friday, 19 March 2010

Interesting times these days as the president's approval rating continues south, the public is disgusted with Congress backing up displeasure with incredibly low approval ratings--17% at last report (and exercising the power of the vote to oust), and government, instead of working for us, coming at us with accelerating and troubling speed. ObamaCare is an example. There are few who argue against the need for some sort of healthcare reform but the president's brand is not to the majority's liking. As one ObamaCare protestor's placard read last year:

"Shove This Down Our Throat In 2009 and We'll Shove It Up Your A** In 2010 and 2012"

In the name of decorum, the asterisks are mine.

Wednesday evening Fox News aired Bret Baier's interview with President Obama about healthcare reform. Baier asked simple, direct questions about process and content. The president--true to talking points and in line with past failing efforts to convince America--was vague, evasive, and unable to explain ObamaCare. In fact, Baier, afforded minimal time, had to repeatedly (though politely) interrupt the president asking for an answer, not lengthy campaign sound bites designed to chew up time, to the questions.

Much of America is against ObamaCare--either they don't want it, don't like, don't understand it, or all of the above. Who buys anything they don't understand much less don't like or don't want? A rhetorical question, I know. So, why should America "buy" ObamaCare? Particularly after House Speaker Pelosi blurted out the Bill needed to be passed so we could discover what's in it. That moronic comment should have been enough to shut the whole thing down. What was that Twain said about keeping quiet and appearing stupid? Never mind, she's another Commentary.

But should ObamaCare come to pass--and his flock has faith it will, two things will certainly happen: One, Americans will be holding their heads back (and holding their nose), opening wide and saying, "Ah" while swallowing bad medicine. And two, Democrats in office will soon be dropping trousers and hiking skirts, bending over and grabbing ankles cause "it's" coming with a shove--some may even say, "Ah"--come November.

Anyway, the placard sentiment continues--to say the least, as recent elections in governor's races and the Senate ousting Democrats from office prove. In other words, "the shoving up" has begun. Not to mention the public uproar this week over talk of passing ObamaCare without a formal, legitimate vote (another point the president side-stepped during the Baier interview).

During the past few weeks I've received a number of notes asking for comment on Alexander Tyler's take on the survival of a democracy. Interesting. I addressed this matter back in November, 2008, when first starting this Commentary. At that time, the Tea Party movement had not sprung to life and the Independents had not started to abandon Mr. Obama. My how things change and quickly in the political arena.

Barely more than a year into his presidency and Mr. Obama is on the verge of sealing his own fate--whether ObamaCare passes or not. Shouldn't we all wonder, seriously, with our collective well-being as a nation of foremost concern, about a president who moves, unwittingly or otherwise, to trap himself? And also wonder if priorities are national or narcissistic? Behind-the-scenes winks, nods, secret handshakes, and "drug deals" in the heads (to include a bizarre encounter in the men's shower ) and recesses of Capitol Hill and the Oval Office, coupled with the president's sales pitches, reek of the latter.

Since the Tyler queries are back, for this week I decided to post my initial Commentary (the Post Script is new). As I reread my hypothesis and answer and placed in perspective to what is happening in America today--especially the revolt to ObamaCare--it struck me there just may be something to the ideas. With minor reformatting (for ease of reading), and for what it's worth, following is my perspective from sixteen months ago.

Whether you read the original post or not it's worth a read today in perspective to what has happened in the interim and the direction we're seemingly heading.

By Andy Weddington
Friday, 21 November 2008

Two weeks ago a reader sent me the below italicized passage and posed the question: “Where do you think we are in this continuum with the election of Obama?”

About the time our original thirteen states adopted their new constitution in 1787, Alexander Tyler, a Scottish history professor at the University of Edinburgh, had this to say about the fall of the Athenian Republic some 2,000 years earlier: "A democracy is always temporary in nature; it simply cannot exist as a permanent form of government. A democracy will continue to exist up until the time that voters discover they can vote themselves generous gifts from the public treasury. From that moment on, the majority always vote for the candidates who promise the most benefits from the public treasury, with the result that every democracy will finally collapse due to loose fiscal policy, which is always followed by a dictatorship. The average age of the world's greatest civilizations from the beginning of history, has been about 200 years. During those 200 years, those nations always progressed through the following sequence:

1. from bondage to spiritual faith;
2. from spiritual faith to great courage;
3. from courage to liberty;
4. from liberty to abundance;
5. from abundance to complacency;
6. from complacency to apathy;
7. from apathy to dependence;
8. from dependence back into bondage"

Frankly, in previous cursory reads of Tyler’s model I concluded he was insightful and on the mark—“spot on” in today’s vernacular to certify a bull’s-eye. Since our democracy has surpassed the 200 year benchmark and is arguably in tenuous times (according to history’s timeline, possibly on the verge of collapse), I decided to give Tyler a closer look and to ponder the question. It proved more challenging than expected--it's a good one for debate. Last week I spent more than 26 hours driving highways and byways and as many hours wading the chilly waters of the San Juan River fly-casting for trout—plenty of time to think—and clearly. Just as hooking and landing a trout is not so simple—success depends on convincing presentation of the fly—nor is the matter at hand so simple—success rests with presentation of a cogent argument. Here goes…

Any model that attempts to explain people and behavior must incorporate human nature—innate (inevitable, unchangeable) as well as that which is societal or culturally conditioned (subject to change, revamp). That human nature is complex is an understatement. Theories proposed by the likes of Karl Marx, B.F. Skinner, Sigmund Freud, Plato, Sartre, and Konrad Lorenz to name a handful of the more well-known and Christianity and sundry Eastern philosophies are indeed relevant to this discussion. Regrettably, there is not time or space to compare and contrast them in even the most rudimentary fashion. Suffice to say theories differ, and in some cases dramatically, yet with occasional overlap. As one theory does not—cannot—adequately explain the mysteries of human nature, it is far more plausible that a blending of tenants from across theories best reflects the behavior of man.

My first thought after studying Tyler’s model was that I could not answer the reader’s query. Something was missing but I was not able to pinpoint what was bothersome. After hours of mulling it over, it finally dawned on me that moving from “complacency” to “apathy” was troubling. The transition was too abrupt. People, at least the vast majority, just do not emotionally move from complacency (satisfaction) to apathy (indifference). Though not a psychologist, I did learn a bit about behavioral psychology in school and a great deal more in the ‘schools of hard knocks’—leading people (Marines) for nearly three decades. Drawing from all that education and on-the-job-training, there are at least three psychological states (innate and societal/cultural)—“discontent,” “turmoil,” and “despair”—perhaps better described as “internal struggles” of the human psyche—individual and group—that come to mind before people are exasperated and quit. Or so I believe. Therefore, I propose inserting the following into Tyler’s work:

6. from complacency to discontent;
7. from discontent to turmoil;
8. from turmoil to despair;
9. from despair to apathy;

Complacent people, individuals and groups, tend to become restless—“discontent”—not apathetic. When “discontent” there is recognition of life being askew and the need to do something, anything, but precisely what may not be known. “Discontent” leads to thinking, deciding, and acting with the hope of pacifying the irritation. If there is no relief, “discontent” escalates to “turmoil” leading to yet more activity, likely chaotic, to resolve the problem. Failure to remedy the “turmoil” leads to hopelessness—“despair.” “Despair” is nearing rock-bottom—it stirs up sentiments of self-doubt, indifference, and feelings of “who cares anyway”—that’s “apathy.” At first blush, one could argue “discontent,” “turmoil,” and “despair” are implied under Tyler’s “courage.” But after more thoughtful analysis it’s apparent those emotional states are undeniable standalones best positioned to lessen the chasm between “complacency” and “apathy.”

“Where is the United States of America, on the Tyler continuum, with the election of Obama?” Now that Tyler’s model is a truer reflection of human nature and behavior, so far as I am concerned, the question can be answered—somewhat. But first, there is a far more elemental question to contemplate: “Is the collapse of a democracy a unidirectional destiny driven solely by innate aspects of human nature (e.g. selfishness—drawing from the pubic treasury). Or, can a democracy be saved by a culture or society’s ability to alter or rework its direction (recognition of country before self)—thereby defying the innate downward spiral to destruction?”

As I understand Tyler’s model, as applied to civilizations throughout history, his is a unidirectional model and collapse is a foregone conclusion—fait accompli. Admittedly, it’s disconcerting that Tyler has proof—history—on his side. And yet, despite his empirical support, I am not so sure—perhaps na├»vely but not so sure. It does not make sense to me that our democracy must adhere to a unidirectional continuum nor necessarily be bound to move a single phase or step at a time along that continuum. As man is able to record, he is able to learn from history—and preclude repeating mistakes of predecessors. As such, today’s democracy is not the democracy of yesteryear. Nor will today’s democracy be that of tomorrow.

When teaching at the University of Mississippi back in the 80’s, I recall strolling through the Student Union on occasion and usually taking a moment to read the following quote that adorned one of the huge walls:

“I believe man will not merely endure: he will prevail. He is immortal, not because he alone among creatures has an inexhaustible voice, but because he has a soul, a spirit capable of compassion and sacrifice and endurance.” William Faulkner

More than twenty-two years after first reading Faulkner’s words, it now strikes me that “our democracy” could fittingly replace “man” and “governments” replace “creatures” and his idea then succinctly sums up my sentiments:

“I believe our democracy will not merely endure: it will prevail. Our democracy is immortal, not because it alone among governments has an inexhaustible voice, but because it has a soul, a spirit capable of compassion and sacrifice and endurance.”

To the reader’s question, I offer that Mr. Obama’s election reflects our democracy’s state of “discontent.” And it is beyond the ability of anyone to accurately predict the impact of the Obama presidency on our democracy. Who knows where we go from here? No one could possibly know for certain yet many are making a damn good living guessing and stirring up public sentiment—polarizing the country.

Human nature, innate tempered with societal/cultural influence, and time will tell if our democracy follows history—proving Tyler prophetic, or endures along a bi-directional model or morphs into something completely unforeseeable.

Thoughts of Chaos Theory come to mind and that small, seemingly insignificant occurrences can be the root of cataclysmic events. A believer in nonlinearity and forever an optimist, I refuse to accept Tyler’s doomsday premise that our democracy is tumbling down an irreversible path toward demise.

To cite Mark Twain, “Loyalty to the country always. Loyalty to the government when it deserves it.” Though it would be horrid, there is always the possibility of our democracy again one day being in an extreme state of “turmoil”—civil war—the absolute last recourse seen by masses committed to preserving our democracy; our Republic.

Never ever underestimate the ferocity of fight in a trapped, well-armed, well-led “enemy.” Especially if that enemy is of American spirit. Against history and the odds, my money—what little of the folding kind did not recently find its way into the pockets of corrupt politicians and businessmen—is on our democracy; to not only endure—but to prevail.

Post Script

As I see it, Mr. Obama's election was the result of discontent. And so does discontent explain the election of Republican governors in New Jersey and Virginia last fall and a Republican Senator in Massachusetts in January. So tips the see-saw. Rise of the Tea Party along with large numbers of Independents and some Democrats abandoning President Obama likewise reflect discontent; maybe the mere beginnings of turmoil. Though unsettled times, we're nearer abundance than apathy.

Despair is not even on the horizon.

For though despair is a human condition I am not convinced it's part of the American psyche (A perspective Tyler could not enjoy due to the infancy of America. Time is in my corner). I know it's not when it comes to U. S. Marines. More than 234 years of success on battlefields across the globe--sometimes defying all odds--is ample empirical evidence. And one image says far more than the most forceful of eloquent words--Joe Rosenthal's powerful WWII impromptu photograph of five Marines and a Navy Corpsman raising the Stars on Stripes atop Mount Suribachi on the tiny island of Iwo Jima. A moment, captured in 1/400th of a second, serves as our national pictorial antithesis of despair reflecting not just the tenacity of Marines but the American spirit and grit to fight; no matter what.


Bruce said...

I wish I could be as upbeat, Colonel. I am seriously distressed over the future of our Republic, based on the clearly unconstitutional methods being pushed by the dirtbags in DC and the Pretender in the White House. I have zero faith in the judicial branch to rectify the situation. The question then is - where do we go from here? We are left without a voice other than the electoral process, and based on the thuggery and outright illegal tactics of the left I have very little faith even in that. Is our only avenue to correct this a revolt? A second American Revolution? Clearly, some are leaning in that direction.

Those who fought for our nation and our Constitution may be horrified at the thought, but our means of redress are limited more each day by further erosion of our rights. These slime balls make law without regard for the Constitution of statute law. The system is breaking - if not already broken.

Colonel Andy Weddington, U. S. Marines (Retired) said...

Well, Bruce, I share your concerns and guess gunfire (serious turmoil) is not outside the realm of possibility. But, I think that day comes only when absolute despair is at hand--which I doubt we'll see. As I wrote, despair is not on the horizon--as I see it. During some trying times in my lieutenant days a Commandant offered three words to me that I have never forgotten when times are tough: Keep the Faith. I've great respect for that man who no longer walks among us. Despite current times, I don't think he'd abandon his commitment to "Keep the Faith." Therefore, I cannot be anything other than optimistic--albeit guardedly with weapons ready.